Can you see your case opening stats in CS2?
Not directly. CS2 has no screen that tells you how many cases you have opened or what you got. Tradeit's guide and Swap.gg's guide both note that the game lacks a built-in case counter.
What you do have is Steam's record of every item that entered or left your inventory. Every case opening is in there. It just is not added up for you. This guide shows how to find it, how to count it, and how to check your results against the real odds.
How do you find your Steam inventory history?
Your Steam Inventory History is the best record you have. Here is how to open it:
- Sign in to Steam in the app or in a web browser.
- Open your profile and go to Inventory.
- Click More, then View Inventory History.
- If you own items from other games, use the page's game filter to show only Counter-Strike 2.
You can also go straight to steamcommunity.com/my/inventoryhistory/. If you are not signed in, Steam sends you to its login page first. Only sign in on the real steamcommunity.com address. Valve's security advice says never to click unknown links, even from friends, because their accounts may be hacked.
How do you count your case openings?
Each case opening shows up in the history as a change to your inventory. Tradeit's guide says entries "typically display the case being removed from your inventory and the skin you received in return." Swap.gg suggests searching the page for the container entries and counting them.
A simple way to do it:
- Open your inventory history, filtered to CS2.
- Press Ctrl + F (Cmd + F on a Mac) and search for "container". Your browser shows how many matches it finds.
- Scroll further down to reach older entries, and search again as more history appears on the page.
- Write down each rare pull as you pass it. A spreadsheet with the date, case and item works well.
A search for "container" may also catch sticker capsules and other containers, so glance at each match to confirm it was a weapon case. Swap.gg notes that the manual method is slow when you have opened a lot of cases.
Can your key purchases tell you how many cases you opened?
Roughly. Tradeit suggests counting the keys you bought as an estimate, since each case needs one key. It also lists the problems with this method: you may have unused keys, you may have traded keys away, and you may have used keys someone else gave you.
Use it as a quick check, not an exact count. If your key count and your inventory history count are close, you can trust the number more.
Does Steam's Personal Game Data show case openings?
Valve keeps a Personal Game Data page for Counter-Strike. Valve's Service Medals FAQ explains how to reach it: open your Steam profile, choose Games, find Counter-Strike, then "My Game Stats" and "Personal Game Data." The direct address is steamcommunity.com/my/gcpd/730, which also needs you to sign in.
Valve's FAQ describes the Account Information tab on that page, which shows details like your first Counter-Strike game date. It does not describe a case opening count. Look through the tabs for your own account, but treat inventory history as the main record.
What are the official CS2 case odds?
The official odds come from a probability disclosure by Perfect World, Valve's partner in China. The Perfect World page gives each rarity as a ratio: each tier is 1 to 5 against the tier below, and the rare special item (a knife or gloves) is 2 to 5 against Covert. It then lists the resulting chances for key-opened weapon cases.
| Rarity | Chance per case | About 1 in |
|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec (blue) | 79.923% | 1.25 |
| Restricted (purple) | 15.985% | 6 |
| Classified (pink) | 3.197% | 31 |
| Covert (red) | 0.639% | 156 |
| Knife or gloves (gold) | 0.256% | 391 |
The same page says that when an item can be StatTrak, the chance of StatTrak is 1 in 10. Every item in the same rarity has the same chance, so a case with more items in a tier makes each single item rarer.
Our drop rates page rounds these to 79.92%, 15.98%, 3.2%, 0.64% and 0.26%, which is why you may see "1 in 385" for a knife on some pages and "1 in 391" on others. For the odds of one exact skin, use the case odds calculator.
How do you compare your luck to the odds?
Once you have your count, multiply it by each chance to get the number you would expect on average. Then compare that with what you actually pulled.
Here is what the average looks like for different amounts of cases:
| Cases opened | Expected Classified | Expected Covert | Expected knife or gloves | Chance of no knife or gloves at all |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.3 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 97.5% |
| 50 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.13 | 88% |
| 100 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.26 | 77% |
| 250 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 0.64 | 53% |
| 500 | 16.0 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 28% |
| 1,000 | 32.0 | 6.4 | 2.6 | 8% |
We worked out these numbers from the Perfect World odds. The last column uses the chance of missing every time, which is (1 minus 0.00256) multiplied by itself once for each case.
How to read your result:
- Below average is normal. After 100 cases, more than 3 in 4 people have no knife or gloves. That is not bad luck. It is the most common outcome.
- Small counts tell you almost nothing. With 20 or 30 openings, one Covert more or less swings your result a lot.
- Look at all tiers, not just gold. If your Restricted and Classified counts are close to the table, your luck is about average, even with no knife.
- Counts on the high side happen too. About 3 in 100 people who open 100 cases get two or more knives or gloves. It does not mean their account is lucky, and it will not continue.
If you want to see how wide the spread is, the unbox challenges run fast simulated openings with the real odds. Run the "open until a knife" challenge a few times and you will see some runs finish in 50 cases and others go past 1,000.
How much did your openings cost versus what you got?
Luck is only half of it. The other half is money. A case opening costs the case plus a key, and most pulls are Mil-Spec skins worth far less than that.
To check your own results:
- Add up what you spent. Count the keys and the cases you bought.
- Add up the current value of what you pulled. You can check skin prices on our case pages.
- Compare the two. Most people find they got back much less than they paid.
Our case EV calculator shows the average return of each case at current prices. With the prices it uses, most cases return well under what they cost to open. That gap is built into the odds, not a sign that you were unlucky.
Are third-party case stat tools safe?
Some browser extensions and websites offer to count your openings for you. Swap.gg lists a couple and says to check their reviews before linking your account. We have not tested them, so we do not recommend any.
If you try one, follow a few rules. Never type your Steam password into a page that an extension opened. Never share your Steam Web API key. Our guides on fake Steam login pages and Steam API key scams explain why. The manual method above is slower, but it never puts your account at risk.
Do case-opening website stats follow the same odds?
No. The odds on this page are for Valve's weapon cases opened in the game. Case-opening websites make their own cases and set their own odds. Your history on those sites cannot be compared with this table.
If you use those sites, read house edge explained to see how their returns are set, and how provably fair works to check a roll. Case battles explained covers the battle mode. Our responsible gaming page has help if opening stops being fun.
What if you just want to see the odds in action?
You do not need to spend money to see how the odds feel. The case simulator opens any case with the published odds, for free and with no real items. It is the quickest way to see why a knife can take hundreds of cases, and why that is normal.