Operation Wildfire Case: Contents, Odds and Price
Short answer
The Operation Wildfire Case came out on Feb 17, 2016 and holds 16 skins plus 13 rare special items (Bowie Knife). It costs $2.41 at the lowest cash listing or $3.76 on the Steam Market, plus a key. The chance of a knife is 0.26% per case.
Operation Wildfire Case at a glance
| Released | Feb 17, 2016 |
|---|---|
| Skins | 16 skins plus 13 rare special items |
| Rare special items | Bowie Knife |
| Case price (lowest cash listing) | $2.41 (5,531 listed) |
| Case price on the Steam Market | $3.76 |
| Key price in the game | $2.49 |
| Cost of one opening | $4.90 |
| Value of one opening (expected value) | $4.24 |
| Average return | 87% of what you pay |
| Chance of a knife | 0.26%, about 1 in 385 |
| Collection | The Wildfire Collection |
Prices are from today's snapshot. The value of one opening comes from the Case EV tool: the chance of each rarity times the average lowest listing of its skins.
What is in the Operation Wildfire Case?
| Rarity | Items | Chance per case | Chance per item | About 1 in |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 6 | 79.92% | 13.32% | 1.25 cases |
| Restricted | 5 | 15.98% | 3.20% | 6.26 cases |
| Classified | 3 | 3.20% | 1.07% | 31 cases |
| Covert | 2 | 0.640% | 0.320% | 156 cases |
| Rare Special Item | 13 | 0.260% | 0.020% | 385 cases |
Prices run from the cheapest to the dearest lowest listing across every wear and StatTrak, using Steam Market lowest listings (the lowest cash listing when Steam has none). Pick a skin to see each wear, its float range and where to buy it.
Mil-Spec (6)
Restricted (5)
Classified (3)
Rare Special Item (13)
- Bowie Knife
No listings
- Bowie KnifeFade
$184 to $442
- Bowie KnifeCrimson Web
$101 to $328
- Bowie KnifeSlaughter
$161 to $418
- Bowie KnifeCase Hardened
$114 to $409
- Bowie KnifeUrban Masked
$52.23 to $207
- Bowie KnifeBlue Steel
$83.68 to $12,674
- Bowie KnifeNight
$61.11 to $331
- Bowie KnifeStained
$60.36 to $642
- Bowie KnifeForest DDPAT
$43.68 to $278
- Bowie KnifeBoreal Forest
$41.90 to $351
- Bowie KnifeScorched
$44.75 to $156
- Bowie KnifeSafari Mesh
$43.10 to $127
Frequently asked questions
How much is the Operation Wildfire Case?
The Operation Wildfire Case costs $2.41 at the lowest cash listing across the marketplaces we track and $3.76 on the Steam Market. Opening it also needs a key, $2.49 in the game.
What knives are in the Operation Wildfire Case?
The Operation Wildfire Case holds 13 rare special items: Bowie Knife. Any of them drops 0.26% of the time, about once in 385 openings.
What are the best skins in the Operation Wildfire Case?
The top tier below the rare special items is Covert: AK-47 | Fuel Injector and M4A4 | The Battlestar. The table above shows each skin's price range across wears.
Is the Operation Wildfire Case worth opening?
On today's prices one opening costs $4.90 and is worth $4.24 on average, so you get back about 87% of what you pay over many openings. Single openings vary a lot. Try it free in the simulator first.
