Operation Vanguard Weapon Case: Contents, Odds and Price
Short answer
The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case came out on Nov 11, 2014 and holds 14 skins plus 65 rare special items (Bayonet, Flip Knife, Gut Knife, Karambit and M9 Bayonet). It costs $4.38 at the lowest cash listing or $6.47 on the Steam Market, plus a key. The chance of a knife is 0.26% per case.
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case at a glance
| Released | Nov 11, 2014 |
|---|---|
| Skins | 14 skins plus 65 rare special items |
| Rare special items | Bayonet, Flip Knife, Gut Knife, Karambit and M9 Bayonet |
| Case price (lowest cash listing) | $4.38 (1,408 listed) |
| Case price on the Steam Market | $6.47 |
| Key price in the game | $2.49 |
| Cost of one opening | $6.87 |
| Value of one opening (expected value) | $5.76 |
| Average return | 84% of what you pay |
| Chance of a knife | 0.26%, about 1 in 385 |
| Collection | The Vanguard Collection |
Prices are from today's snapshot. The value of one opening comes from the Case EV tool: the chance of each rarity times the average lowest listing of its skins.
What is in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
| Rarity | Items | Chance per case | Chance per item | About 1 in |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 5 | 79.92% | 15.98% | 1.25 cases |
| Restricted | 4 | 15.98% | 4.00% | 6.26 cases |
| Classified | 3 | 3.20% | 1.07% | 31 cases |
| Covert | 2 | 0.640% | 0.320% | 156 cases |
| Rare Special Item | 65 | 0.260% | 0.004% | 385 cases |
Prices run from the cheapest to the dearest lowest listing across every wear and StatTrak, using Steam Market lowest listings (the lowest cash listing when Steam has none). Pick a skin to see each wear, its float range and where to buy it.
Mil-Spec (5)
Restricted (4)
Classified (3)
Rare Special Item (65)
- Bayonet
No listings
- BayonetFade
$341 to $645
- BayonetSlaughter
$278 to $525
- BayonetCase Hardened
$197 to $700
- BayonetNight
$127 to $891
- BayonetBlue Steel
$152 to $381
- BayonetCrimson Web
$166 to $1,496
- BayonetStained
$126 to $411
- BayonetScorched
$118 to $473
- BayonetSafari Mesh
$113 to $477
- BayonetBoreal Forest
$114 to $352
- BayonetUrban Masked
$119 to $288
- BayonetForest DDPAT
$117 to $311
- Flip Knife
No listings
- Flip KnifeFade
$290 to $428
- Flip KnifeSlaughter
$236 to $401
- Flip KnifeCase Hardened
$139 to $504
- Flip KnifeNight
$114 to $507
- Flip KnifeBlue Steel
$145 to $308
- Flip KnifeCrimson Web
$165 to $1,213
- Flip KnifeStained
$115 to $246
- Flip KnifeScorched
$108 to $222
- Flip KnifeSafari Mesh
$99.89 to $500
- Flip KnifeBoreal Forest
$101 to $243
- Flip KnifeUrban Masked
$112 to $368
- Flip KnifeForest DDPAT
$107 to $134
- Gut Knife
No listings
- Gut KnifeFade
$117 to $280
- Gut KnifeSlaughter
$104 to $158
- Gut KnifeCase Hardened
$90.53 to $1,565
- Gut KnifeNight
$42.65 to $149
- Gut KnifeBlue Steel
$59.26 to $283
- Gut KnifeCrimson Web
$59.67 to $681
- Gut KnifeStained
$48.94 to $113
- Gut KnifeScorched
$41.38 to $74.57
- Gut KnifeSafari Mesh
$38.41 to $134
- Gut KnifeBoreal Forest
$40.70 to $95.92
- Gut KnifeUrban Masked
$43.04 to $135
- Gut KnifeForest DDPAT
$37.13 to $78.49
- Karambit
No listings
- KarambitFade
$1,738 to $2,037
- KarambitSlaughter
$876 to $1,291
- KarambitCase Hardened
$631 to $4,503
- KarambitNight
$434 to $3,081
- KarambitBlue Steel
$678 to $1,076
- KarambitCrimson Web
$555 to $6,410
- KarambitStained
$476 to $1,300
- KarambitScorched
$425 to $1,020
- KarambitSafari Mesh
$377 to $604
- KarambitBoreal Forest
$375 to $1,509
- KarambitUrban Masked
$399 to $828
- KarambitForest DDPAT
$363 to $894
- M9 Bayonet
No listings
- M9 BayonetFade
$940 to $1,220
- M9 BayonetSlaughter
$650 to $912
- M9 BayonetCase Hardened
$426 to $1,789
- M9 BayonetNight
$326 to $1,235
- M9 BayonetBlue Steel
$450 to $975
- M9 BayonetCrimson Web
$411 to $4,865
- M9 BayonetStained
$369 to $530
- M9 BayonetScorched
$281 to $692
- M9 BayonetSafari Mesh
$273 to $354
- M9 BayonetBoreal Forest
$273 to $1,005
- M9 BayonetUrban Masked
$280 to $414
- M9 BayonetForest DDPAT
$276 to $804
Frequently asked questions
How much is the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case costs $4.38 at the lowest cash listing across the marketplaces we track and $6.47 on the Steam Market. Opening it also needs a key, $2.49 in the game.
What knives are in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case holds 65 rare special items: Bayonet, Flip Knife, Gut Knife, Karambit and M9 Bayonet. Any of them drops 0.26% of the time, about once in 385 openings.
What are the best skins in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
The top tier below the rare special items is Covert: AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel and P2000 | Fire Elemental. The table above shows each skin's price range across wears.
Is the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case worth opening?
On today's prices one opening costs $6.87 and is worth $5.76 on average, so you get back about 84% of what you pay over many openings. Single openings vary a lot. Try it free in the simulator first.
