Operation Phoenix Weapon Case: Contents, Odds and Price
Short answer
The Operation Phoenix Weapon Case came out on Feb 20, 2014 and holds 13 skins plus 65 rare special items (Bayonet, Flip Knife, Gut Knife, Karambit and M9 Bayonet). It costs $2.90 at the lowest cash listing or $4.88 on the Steam Market, plus a key. The chance of a knife is 0.26% per case.
Operation Phoenix Weapon Case at a glance
| Released | Feb 20, 2014 |
|---|---|
| Skins | 13 skins plus 65 rare special items |
| Rare special items | Bayonet, Flip Knife, Gut Knife, Karambit and M9 Bayonet |
| Case price (lowest cash listing) | $2.90 (33,087 listed) |
| Case price on the Steam Market | $4.88 |
| Key price in the game | $2.49 |
| Cost of one opening | $5.39 |
| Value of one opening (expected value) | $3.22 |
| Average return | 60% of what you pay |
| Chance of a knife | 0.26%, about 1 in 385 |
| Collection | The Phoenix Collection |
Prices are from today's snapshot. The value of one opening comes from the Case EV tool: the chance of each rarity times the average lowest listing of its skins.
What is in the Operation Phoenix Weapon Case?
| Rarity | Items | Chance per case | Chance per item | About 1 in |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 4 | 79.92% | 19.98% | 1.25 cases |
| Restricted | 4 | 15.98% | 4.00% | 6.26 cases |
| Classified | 3 | 3.20% | 1.07% | 31 cases |
| Covert | 2 | 0.640% | 0.320% | 156 cases |
| Rare Special Item | 65 | 0.260% | 0.004% | 385 cases |
Prices run from the cheapest to the dearest lowest listing across every wear and StatTrak, using Steam Market lowest listings (the lowest cash listing when Steam has none). Pick a skin to see each wear, its float range and where to buy it.
Mil-Spec (4)
Restricted (4)
Rare Special Item (65)
- Bayonet
No listings
- BayonetFade
$301 to $565
- BayonetSlaughter
$252 to $454
- BayonetCase Hardened
$183 to $1,022
- BayonetNight
$116 to $679
- BayonetBlue Steel
$165 to $353
- BayonetCrimson Web
$169 to $1,612
- BayonetStained
$123 to $809
- BayonetScorched
$111 to $184
- BayonetSafari Mesh
$105 to $477
- BayonetBoreal Forest
$106 to $342
- BayonetUrban Masked
$111 to $516
- BayonetForest DDPAT
$106 to $176
- Flip Knife
No listings
- Flip KnifeFade
$245 to $481
- Flip KnifeSlaughter
$227 to $369
- Flip KnifeCase Hardened
$138 to $451
- Flip KnifeNight
$101 to $442
- Flip KnifeBlue Steel
$129 to $275
- Flip KnifeCrimson Web
$162 to $939
- Flip KnifeStained
$103 to $315
- Flip KnifeScorched
$91.68 to $133
- Flip KnifeSafari Mesh
$84.27 to $459
- Flip KnifeBoreal Forest
$90.30 to $234
- Flip KnifeUrban Masked
$93.95 to $354
- Flip KnifeForest DDPAT
$85.64 to $735
- Gut Knife
No listings
- Gut KnifeFade
$102 to $260
- Gut KnifeSlaughter
$85.71 to $148
- Gut KnifeCase Hardened
$84.53 to $1,592
- Gut KnifeNight
$41.70 to $429
- Gut KnifeBlue Steel
$55.01 to $143
- Gut KnifeCrimson Web
$58.71 to $817
- Gut KnifeStained
$47.04 to $116
- Gut KnifeScorched
$41.59 to $98.00
- Gut KnifeSafari Mesh
$38.27 to $736
- Gut KnifeBoreal Forest
$41.19 to $92.46
- Gut KnifeUrban Masked
$42.35 to $131
- Gut KnifeForest DDPAT
$40.02 to $83.23
- Karambit
No listings
- KarambitFade
$1,541 to $2,080
- KarambitSlaughter
$739 to $1,061
- KarambitCase Hardened
$597 to $3,985
- KarambitNight
$397 to $1,713
- KarambitBlue Steel
$613 to $1,072
- KarambitCrimson Web
$521 to $5,673
- KarambitStained
$460 to $1,094
- KarambitScorched
$358 to $810
- KarambitSafari Mesh
$326 to $791
- KarambitBoreal Forest
$330 to $1,517
- KarambitUrban Masked
$357 to $826
- KarambitForest DDPAT
$330 to $898
- M9 Bayonet
No listings
- M9 BayonetFade
$756 to $1,226
- M9 BayonetSlaughter
$580 to $839
- M9 BayonetCase Hardened
$395 to $1,807
- M9 BayonetNight
$272 to $1,073
- M9 BayonetBlue Steel
$415 to $1,130
- M9 BayonetCrimson Web
$378 to $4,085
- M9 BayonetStained
$309 to $506
- M9 BayonetScorched
$250 to $748
- M9 BayonetSafari Mesh
$241 to $359
- M9 BayonetBoreal Forest
$242 to $791
- M9 BayonetUrban Masked
$262 to $732
- M9 BayonetForest DDPAT
$243 to $670
Frequently asked questions
How much is the Operation Phoenix Weapon Case?
The Operation Phoenix Weapon Case costs $2.90 at the lowest cash listing across the marketplaces we track and $4.88 on the Steam Market. Opening it also needs a key, $2.49 in the game.
What knives are in the Operation Phoenix Weapon Case?
The Operation Phoenix Weapon Case holds 65 rare special items: Bayonet, Flip Knife, Gut Knife, Karambit and M9 Bayonet. Any of them drops 0.26% of the time, about once in 385 openings.
What are the best skins in the Operation Phoenix Weapon Case?
The top tier below the rare special items is Covert: AWP | Asiimov and AUG | Chameleon. The table above shows each skin's price range across wears.
Is the Operation Phoenix Weapon Case worth opening?
On today's prices one opening costs $5.39 and is worth $3.22 on average, so you get back about 60% of what you pay over many openings. Single openings vary a lot. Try it free in the simulator first.
